Exit polls predict BJP win in Gujarat, Himachal

Infographic by Avian Media

Infographic by Avian Media

IndiaToday-Axis My India exit poll predicted 99-103 seats for BJP, 68-82 for Congress and 1-4 for Others.

"The exit polls are showing that the BJP is winning convincingly so that people don't suspect EVMs".

In the 2012 assembly polls, the BJP had won 115 seats, against the 61 of the Congress party. The Congress, led by its poll mascot Rahul Gandhi and joined by youth leaders Hardik Patel, Alpesh Thakore and Jignesh Mevani, has put up a solid challenge, but it will nevertheless fail to unseat the BJP from its throne and the incumbency of 22 consecutive years.

ABP-CSDS projects win for BJP in Gujarat with 117 seats, Congress likely to get 64.

So if one goes by the upper limit of the News 24-Today's Chanakya prediction, it would be the BJP's best performance ever and just a little less than the Congress 149/182 sweep under Madhavsinh Solanki in 1985, but still below Amit Shah's prediction of 150 seats.

Himachal-slide

A survey by India Today's "Aaj Tak" news channel also predicted that the BJP, which has been ruling Gujarat for nearly 20 years, would retain power in the state. This time, the lowest poll prediction for BJP is 99 seats, whereas the highest is 120 in an Assembly that needs 92 seats for a win. A party needs 35 seats to be able to form a government.

In Centra Gujarat, BJP is likely to win 21-27 seats with 47 per cent vote share; Congress- 13-19 seats with 42 cent vote share.

News Nation too predicts a clear BJP majority in Himachal Pradesh with 43-47 seats. On the other hand, for the Congress, vote share has gone up by three percentage points, from 39 per cent in 2012 to 42 per cent in 2017. Meanwhile, the contest in Himachal Pradesh is seeing a fight between six-time chief minister Virbhadra Singh from Congress and two-time chief minister Prem Kumar Dhumal from the BJP. Barring Ahmedabad district, the Congress and the BJP won nearly similar number of seats 17 and 15 respectively in the rest of north Gujarat. The Congress is the ruling party in the hill state.

The state voted for candidates from 68 constituencies on November 9, with a record turnout of 74%.

The results will be announced on 18 December. █ █ 68.70% polling in 2nd phase The second and final phase of the Gujarat Assembly elections on Thursday saw 68.70 per cent balloting across 14 districts of the northern and central regions of the state, to pick 93 lawmakers. There were 851candidates in the fray and around 2.23 crore voters.

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