The greatest river flood threat will be along the Greenbrier River where confidence is increasing that minor to potentially moderate flooding may occur Sunday to Monday.
An Areal Flood Watch is in place for many from 7pm this evening through 12am Monday. A flood watch will be in effect through Sunday afternoon.
Widespread rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely, with localized amounts over 2.5 inches possible.Continue to monitor forecasts for updates. If all of this snow melts during the peak of this rain event, this will greatly increase the chances for flooding.
WTOP's Dave Dildine said that the area has seen a precipitation deficit of about 5 to 8 inches, and the weekend rain may help steer the area out of its severe drought status.
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A deep southwesterly flow aloft will combine with a slow-moving frontal boundary to produce heavy rainfall during the watch period. So please be aware of your surrounding if you live in an area with bad drainage, an urban area, or an area near a body of water like a creek or stream. It looks like the worst of the flooding will be in southeast Kentucky and southwest Virginia.
While no extreme flooding is expected, several rivers could fill.
After 24-36 hours of on-and-off showers this storm system will slowly move eastward, pulling a weak cold front through Alabama Sunday morning. There have already been a few tornado-warned storms down in the Mobile area this afternoon. The remainder of the area is in a marginal risk (1/5). The ground is very saturated, so it wouldn't take a strong wind gust to topple a tree.