Trump Is Likely to Exit Iran Nuclear Deal

Abbas Araghchi, political deputy at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Iran and the Secretary General of the European Union External Action Service Helga Schmid attend E3/EU+3 and Iran talks at Palais Coburg in Vienna Austria

News Analysis: Pompeo expected to be tougher on US foreign policy

USA military commanders and intelligence officers mostly view the Iran deal, officially referred to as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), as a useful - if imperfect - check on Tehran's nuclear ambitions.

The United States and European powers are negotiating over a possible "supplemental" agreement to the Iran nuclear deal that would address Iran's ballistic-missile development and involvement in Middle East conflicts, a USA diplomat said.

14 de marzo de 2018, 16:59Tehran, Mar 14 (Prensa Latina) "If the USA quits the nuclear deal, we will also quit it, " said Wednesday Abbas Araghchi, Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister for Political Affairs.

Britain, France and Germany have proposed fresh European Union sanctions on Iran over its ballistic missiles and its role in Syria's war, according to a confidential document, in a bid to persuade Washington to preserve the 2015 nuclear deal with Tehran.

After the meeting, Araqchi also held bilateral talks with the head of the USA delegation Brian Hook on the U.S. violations of the pact and the Iranian nationals imprisoned in the United States over accusations they have violated the remaining U.S. sanctions on Iran. The European Union has said it would provide legal protections for its companies and banks, and it could coordinate these efforts with other countries, who could bar their companies from complying with extraterritorial United States sanctions on Iran as they did the 1990s.

In front of a kiosk in Tehran, an Iranian man reads a copy of the daily newspaper Omid Javan bearing a picture of President Donald Trump with a headline that reads in Persian, "Crazy Trump and Logical JCPOA [Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action]", on October 14, 2017, the day Trump decertified the historic nuclear deal with Iran. "So we were not really thinking the same".

Secretary of State Rex Tillerson's ouster and his replacement with former Central Intelligence Agency director Mike Pompeo will undoubtedly affect U.S. foreign policy in Middle East, analysts told Sputnik. A US departure from the deal would virtually guarantee that it would be terminated by all parties involved.

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The steps would go beyond what a US State Department cable obtained by Reuters last month outlined as a path to satisfy Trump: simply committing to improving the nuclear deal. Under the terms of the JCPOA, the Joint Commission is responsible for overseeing the implementation of the nuclear deal.

According to Reuters, the document added that Britain, France, and Germany were involved in "intensive talks" with the Trump administration to "achieve a clear and lasting reaffirmation of US support for the [nuclear] agreement beyond May 12".

Incoming State Secretary Mike Pompeo could change foreign policy in a way that could trigger the loss of 1.4 million barrels per day in global crude supply.

However, "if North Korea sees that Iran is held to tough nuclear and missile standards, backed by the credible threat of crippling sanctions, Mr. Trump will be better positioned to make it clear to Pyongyang that he means business", Dubowitz and Goldberg wrote.

In fantastic testimony before the Senate, Gen. Joseph Votel, who serves as the leader of U.S. Central Command, told stunned senators that he, Defense Secretary Mattis, and Joint Chiefs Chairman Joe Dunford all support the nuclear deal.

"We will...be circulating in the coming days a list of persons and entities that we believe should be targeted in view of their publicly demonstrated roles" in the missile program and the Syrian civil war, the document said, according to Reuters.

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