IMD predicts normal monsoon this year

Nagpur The Regional Meteorological Centre has issued thunderstorm and rainfall warning for the next 24 hours at isolated places of Vidarbha

Nagpur The Regional Meteorological Centre has issued thunderstorm and rainfall warning for the next 24 hours at isolated places of Vidarbha

The LPA for June-September rainfall is around 887 millimetres.

A normal monsoon will not only aid agriculture growth but could have a positive impact on the overall rural economy.

Anything less than 90 per cent of LPA is termed a "deficient" monsoon, and 90-96 per cent of the same is considered "below normal".

The India Meteorological Department, IMD will issue its first official forecast for 2018 southwest monsoon rains in New Delhi today.

The monsoon is considered normal if the average rainfall is between 96 to 104 per cent of long period average.

Skymet also mentioned in its report that above normal rains will benefit the farmers who are expecting good showers in the sowing month of June.

A year ago also, there was a normal monsoon forecast by the IMD.

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As per the IMD, there is 42 percent possibility of normal rainfall and 12 percent possibility of heavy rainfall - it means the country can witness some rainfall in the country.

Detailed forecasts on regional distribution will be made in early June, by when more information on El Niño and the IOD is available.

Meanwhile, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a thunderstorm warning for Monday.

IMD's forecast of 97% rainfall comes with a model error of (plus-minus) 5%.

The forecaster also said that there is nil possibility of a big nationwide drought or deficient rainfall when the total cumulative seasonal rainfall across the country falls below 90 per cent of LPA.

The four-month monsoon season provides about 70 per cent of the country's annual rainfall.

This is the third uninterrupted year when the IMD forecasted the normal monsoon rains in the nation. Since 2012, IMD is also using the dynamical global climate forecasting system (CFS) model developed under the Monsoon Mission to generate forecasts.

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