China and Russia hit back at Trump tariffs

An investor reacts to stock market information in Beijing as the US tariffs come into effect

Image An investor reacts to stock market information in Beijing as the US tariffs come into effect

Hours before Washington's deadline for the tariffs to take effect, U.S. President Donald Trump upped the ante, warning that the United States may ultimately target over $500 billion worth of Chinese goods, or roughly the total amount of U.S. imports from China a year ago.

China accused the USA of launching the "largest trade war in economic history", saying it was "typical trade bullying" that could trigger "global market turmoil".

The AP reports the first exchange of tariffs is unlikely to inflict much economic harm on either nation. "You tax soybean exports at 25-percent, and you have serious damage to USA farmers".

But the conflict could soon escalate.

While Bank of America Merrill Lynch analysts said the chances of the trade war escalating were "modest", it couldn't rule out "a full-blown, recession-inducing 'trade war'". "Markets are still hoping that the key players return to the negotiation table".

It forced USA firms to hand over their technology if they wanted to operate in China. It's very hard for American companies in the auto sector or in financial services to sell into the China market, because there's a lot of regulatory barriers.

Trump sometimes changes his justification for seeking auto tariffs.

But China also believes its economy, with a greater focus on domestic demand and a reduced dependence on exports, can ride out the storm. But it's hardly the only one. "As the tariff casualties mount, even many Trump voters are going to ask: When is the master negotiator actually going to negotiate a better trade deal?"

A model by Pictet Asset Management reckons a 10 per cent tariff on U.S. trade fully passed on to consumers could tip the global economy into stagflation and knock 2.5 per cent off corporate earnings globally. For example, the USA government wants China to rein in government subsidies for policies like "Made in China 2025", which seeks to pump hundreds of billions of dollars into industries such as robotics, electric cars and computer chips with the aim of becoming a global leader.

The U.S.is still negotiating trade arrangements with Mexico, which is the second largest soy consumer after China. "Producers of beef, pork, chicken and seafood will also take a hit". "These tariffs could mean the difference between a profit and a loss for an entire year's worth of work out in the field, and that's only in the near term".

The Trump administration is confronting Beijing over development tactics it says include stealing or pressuring foreign companies to hand over technology.

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Murkowski and Collins have been the focus of a concentrated campaign against Kavanaugh by liberal groups and affiliated Democrats. But she added that other issues also would come into play for her, including "judicial temperament" and "judicial philosophy".

The Dow Jones Industrial Average on Friday gained 99.74 points, or 0.4 percent, to close at 24,456.48, up 0.8 percent from 24,271.41 a week earlier. But the risks are now priced into the market, and the Dow actually rose almost 100 points Friday to 24,456.48.

Other major USA industries - including pork producers, who rely heavily on Chinese demand - could potentially lose billions of dollars as a result of the second round of pork tariffs from China.

Signs of nervousness about the trade outlook were evident elsewhere in global markets with the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc firm against the dollar while core USA and German bonds were in demand.

Friday's tariffs could just be the opening skirmishes in the war, as Trump has vowed to hit as much as $450 billion in Chinese goods, the vast majority of imports.

The Labor Department said that US employers added 213,000 jobs in June.

But beyond those specifically targeted effects, consumers nearly always feel some pain.

The administration has placed "these import taxes squarely on the shoulders of manufacturers and, by extension, consumers", Souhrada said.

Wilson estimated that $1.4 billion to $1.8 billion in North Dakota soybeans are exported to China annually. The dollar and Treasuries edged lower as traders looked ahead to the release of USA jobs data.

The Federal Reserve is picking up signs that the trade war is causing businesses to rethink investment plans.

"No way", Riggs said about buying new equipment.

Eastern time on $34 billion worth of Chinese imports, a first step in what could become an accelerating series of tariffs. It comes at a time when the U.S. dairy industry was already bracing for new tariffs on cheese exported to Mexico. Over the past year, their price has surged more than 8 percent. Certain products are even more imbalanced, for instance the United States charges a 2.5 percent tariff on Chinese cars, while China now maintains a 25 percent tariff on cars from the United States.

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