NOAA: Hurricane Michael 2018 Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

Storm Michael could soon form, hit U.S. midweek

“Michael” Could be in Our Forecast by End of Week

Many trees will be snapped or uprooted, blocking numerous roads.

Scott also announced that he was activating 500 members of the Florida National Guard to assist with planning, logistics and storm response. The storm is now situated east of the Yucatan Peninsula in Mexico and is forecast to travel north into the Gulf of Mexico over the next couple of days. It has the potential to undergo rapid intensification when it enters the Gulf before turning northeast towards Florida. But within a few hours it gained more strength and by Sunday evening, it had top sustained winds of 60 mph (95 kph). It remains a category 1 hurricane and continues to strengthen.

The storm will be moving at a steady clip, so it is unlikely to produce the type of extreme rainfall that Hurricane Florence did.

Tropical Storm Michael is continuing to organize in the northwestern Caribbean Sea, near the Yucatán Peninsula.

Below is the Futurecast showing timing of showers & storms as Michael tracks northward. A hurricane watch is in effect from the Alabama-Florida border eastward to the Suwanee River, and tropical storm watches have been issued from the Suwanee River to Anna Maria Island and from the Alabama-Florida border to the Mississippi-Alabama border.

The NHC said Michael could still grow stronger before it reaches the Florida coast. Tuesday and Wednesday's forecasts will be highly dependent on the track. On average, the Atlantic would have about five hurricanes by October 8.

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A tropical storm that rapidly formed southwest of Cuba could become a unsafe Category 2 hurricane by the time of an expected midweek landfall on the Gulf Coast in the Florida Panhandle.

The Commodity Weather Group said on Sunday there might be some precautionary evacuation of oil rigs in the area affected by the storm, which may slow down operations but not likely cause much interruption.

"Everybody's got to get ready". "Don't take a chance". This will bring the threat for torrential rainfall as well as significant storm surge to the coast; those with interests in the region will want to keep a close eye on the forecast as it develops.

Gov. Rick Scott declared a state of emergency this morning and urged Panhandle and Big Bend residents to prepare for Tropical Depression 14.

"Floridians also know just how quickly the path of a storm can change and that's why we all must be vigilant and get prepared today".

According to NHC spokesman Dennis Feltgen, Michael is the 13th named storm of the 2018 hurricane season.

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