Center Deputy Director Mike Halpert said in a statement a "weak El Nino" could bring "warmer, drier conditions to parts of the North".
"We're expecting this El Nino to be much weaker than that one", Halpert said.
WASHINGTON Winter looks wet and especially mild for much of the country, thanks to a weak El Nino brewing, USA meteorologists said.
A mild winter could be in store for much of the United States, according to the seasonal forecast released Thursday by NOAA. States from the Pacific Northwest through the Northern Plains and into the Northeast are likely to have above-average temperatures, the NOAA reported. "The last cold winter that the country saw was back in 2013-14, and I'd expect MI to probably follow that pattern".
The NOAA said that the Southeast, Tennessee Valley, Ohio Valley, and Mid-Atlantic all have equal chances for below-, near- or above-average temperatures. On Thursday, Oct. 18, 2018, the National Weather Service forecasted a warmer than normal 2018-2019 winter for the northern and western three-quarters of the U.S. It is expected to be weaker than the El Nino that developed during the 2015/2016 winter.
No place in the U.S.is expected to experience cooler-than-average temperatures, according to NOAA.
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Wetter-than-average conditions are favored across the southern tier of the US, and up into the Mid-Atlantic.
"Up in ME the forecast is actually what we call "equal chances", which means there's no tilt in those odds, so it's just as likely to be a wetter-than-normal winter as a drier-than-normal winter", says Halpert. Northern Florida and southern Georgia have the greatest odds for above-average precipitation during the winter, the NOAA said.
- Drier-than-average conditions are most likely in parts of the northern Rockies and Northern Plains, as well as in the Great Lakes and northern Ohio Valley.
-This outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations.
The next update from NOAA will come mid-November.
"Even during a warmer-than-average winter, periods of cold temperatures and snowfall are still likely to occur", the agency stated in its outlook.
As for that other big winter factor - snow - Halpert says the weather service has no prediction for Maine.